Published date:Feb 19 2025

Journal Title: KnE Social Sciences

Issue title: The International Conference on Economic and Sustainable Development (ICESIDE)

Pages:244 - 254

DOI: 10.18502/kss.v10i5.18118

Teddy Christianto Leasiwalt.leasiwal@gmail.comDepartment of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Pattimura

Bin Raudha Arif HanoeboenDepartment of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Pattimura

Muhammad Ridhwan AsselDepartment of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Pattimura

Sandy Aditia TobingDepartment of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Pattimura

This study aims to analyze the effect of exports, imports, and domestic investment on the inflation rate in Indonesia in the short and long term. The data used is secondary data for the period 1992-2021. The analysis method used is the auto regressive distributed lag model. The results of this study indicate that in the short term, the inflation rate in Indonesia is influenced by the previous year’s inflation, exports and exports the last year, imports the prior year, and investments the previous year. Meanwhile, in the long term, investment has a significant effect on the inflation rate, but exports and imports are not important.

Keywords: inflation, export, import, domestic investment, ARDL

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